Paul Ormerod is the author of The Death of Economics, Butterfly Economics and Why Most Things Fail. He studied economics at Cambridge and his career has spanned the academic and practical business worlds, including working at the Economist and as a director of the Henley Centre for Forecasting. He is a Fellow of the British Academy of Social Science and has been awarded a DSchonoris causa for his contribution to economics by the University of Durham.

Paul is currently a Fellow of the British Academy for the Social Sciences and was appointed a distinguished Professor for the 2007/2008 academic year in the University of Durham's new Institute of Advanced Study. He is also a regular reviewer for the Times Higher Educational Supplement.

During the 1980s, Paul was Director of Economics and Deputy MD of Henley Centre for Forecasting, which he helped build into a very successful commercial enterprise owned by the management team. In 1992 Henley Centre sold to WPP Group Plc, a FTSE-100 company. Prior to this, Paul worked as a conventional economic modeller and forecaster at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, and headed the Economic Assessment Unit at the Economist newspaper group from 1980-1982.

Paul read Economics at Cambridge University, then took the MPhil in economics and econometrics at Oxford University. He has published over 50 articles and book chapters, on topics including economic methodology, crime, unemployment and social exclusion, business cycles, geo-political risk, social networks and the medieval inquisition.

Find out more about Paul: paulormerod.com

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