Can Labour win in 2010? - RSA

Can Labour win in 2010?


Off to hear the Queen’s Speech in a few minutes. Is it a sign of ageing that I seem to take up opportunities like this? In the past I would have said ‘why do I want to go, if I want to watch all that Black Rod nonsense, I can watch it on telly?’.

Politically, where do we stand now? We are coming out of the third major pendulum swing since Gordon Brown became Prime Minister, with Labour appearing to fall back in most polls since the PBR. The core factors playing against a Labour victory in 2010 are still there:

•    Gordon Brown finds it hard to connect with ‘middle England’

•    After three terms the public are bored and disillusioned with Labour

•    David Cameron’s Conservatives, while far from convincing, are not useless or frightening.

Labour strategists must feel ambivalent about the QS. On the one hand, any Government wants to set the agenda, talking about how it is trying to make the country better. On the other hand, Gordon seems more credible and popular when he is dealing with a crisis. Whatever today’s headlines I suspect the economy is going to be the dominant issue in British politics right up to the next election. The crisis may suit the Labour Government and it might benefit from any signs of recovery, but it is still most likely that the next election will be fought against the background of a long and exhausting downturn.

Be the first to write a comment


Please login to post a comment or reply

Don't have an account? Click here to register.

Related articles

  • Leading for a brighter urban future

    Joan Munro

    UK Urban Futures Commission Leadership Researcher Joan Munro discusses how long-term government support could help council leaders and their partners move further and faster.

  • Sophie Hague: me and my education

    Sophie Hague

    Sophie Hague, a 2022 Student Design Award winner, explains how design helped to identify the learning techniques that worked for her.

  • Zita Holbourne: Featured Fellow Q&A

    Gamini Sethi

    Zita Holbourne discusses her inspiring work, the fight to achieve equality and representation, success and what it looks like for her, and her advice to aspiring activists.